I was going to wait until “after” the jobs report here this morning, to see if we get a better idea of direction moving forward. Why bother.
The number will be a disappointment as I expected, with the media suggesting that the poor employment numbers are largely due to “poor weather” (I don’t think I’ve ever heard “that one” before).
Markets continue to question “if indeed” Yellen will stick to the plan of tapering, or even as soon as next week – make suggestion otherwise. I’ve been hearing that The Fed feels they need to see “a little more data” before considering flipping the switch and “tapering the tapering”, so mid March still looks like a reasonable time frame to expect “something big”.
We’ve bounced a little bit here this week, with AUD also moving up with “risk appetite” as the ol standard correlation goes, but all in all, it still only looks like a “bit of a counter trend move” in a fairly well-defined down trend.
I’ll be off to Belize here this morning, currently holding several pairs and frankly not that thrilled about it. The entire week trading flat ( and I mean really flat ) generally puts me on edge, as I hate holding anything for too long. I’ll let the jobs data hit, then re-evaluate holding,or possibly dumping a number of positions before I head out on holidays.